Risk (Photo credit: The Fayj) |
Calculating equity investment risk is a complex process and requires the evaluation of several factors. First, what is the state of the overall economy? A vigorous economy suggests that stock prices will generally rise. However, this is not true of all industries. Companies currently in a growth phase - such as the telecommunications industry - seem to have good prospects for an increase in share price.
Industries in the mature phase of their businesses - that is, have been around for several years and established large market caps - may not have much potential for exponential growth and their share price may often remain flat, or trade within a narrow range. Companies that have been around for a long time and that have been hurt by the real estate bubble, such as home building, may fall into this category. New home starts, for example, are currently at low levels and do not augur well for a short-term increase in the share prices of industries connected to home building, such as construction, wood products and cement. Also affected are appliance makers, home furnishings and other related industries. There are other factors as well in the risk-reward equation, including interest rate risk, new taxes levied against certain industries, which would influence specific equities, the risk of inflation and the general health of the national and world economies.
Changes in senior management, unsuccessful marketing and advertising strategies, mergers and acquisitions that don't produced the desired results, too much debt, loss of revenues due to changes in customer preference and other factors, are all potential risks for a company. A specific company may flourish with a corresponding increase in share price and return, while other firms offering the same goods or services may flounder. ... Continue to read.
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