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| Half million dollar house in Salinas, California under foreclosure. (Photo credit: Wikipedia) |
Demand for housing has surged as interest rates have plummeted and home prices in many markets appear to have bottomed, particularly in states such as California where inventories of foreclosures and other lower-priced homes have sunk. The turnaround in prices and record-low supply of newly built homes also are luring builders back after six years of pain.
"The numbers are strong in September, and that is definitely a positive sign," said Celia Chen, a housing economist with Moody's Analytics. "It is confirmation that housing is lifting off the bottom." Residential construction starts rose 15% nationally last month from August to their highest annual rate in more than four years. A separate report showed that the number of troubled California borrowers entering foreclosure hit its lowest level in the third quarter since the dawning of the mortgage meltdown.
If the gains in housing hold, they could give consumer confidence a boost and help the broader economy recover. Housing has played an important part in lifting the nation out of past downturns but was hampered this time by the severity of the Great Recession and the huge number of vacant and foreclosed homes dragging down the market for years.
Now rising prices are helping homeowners in properties that for several years have been underwater, in which the house wouldn't bring enough in a sale to pay off the mortgage. Rising values could play a role in lifting household finances if families feel more secure about the direction of the economy.
Any positive economic news presumably would be a boost for President Obama's reelection campaign, though both he and Republican challenger Mitt Romney have largely avoided a detailed debate on housing policy. Many on the left have said that Obama's tepid and patchwork response to the housing downturn resulted in a slower recovery while the right has decried his policies as interventionist failures.
Michael D. Larson, a housing and interest rate analyst for Weiss Research, said the Federal Reserve's policies to keep mortgage interest rates low and Obama's foreclosure prevention efforts have played some role in the recovery — but the improvements can mostly be attributed to natural market dynamics. ... Continue to read.
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