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Tuesday, June 11, 2013

S&P500 recovers as bond yields rise, but TSX weakens

Ambassador Jacobson and Kevin M. Johnson, U.S....
Ambassador Jacobson and Kevin M. Johnson, U.S. Consul General Toronto, open the Toronto Stock Exchange (Photo credit: US Embassy Canada)
By Colin Twiggs

Sydney, Jun.11, top stocks .- 10-Year Treasury yields respected support at 2.00%, confirming the primary up-trend. Only breakout above 4.00% would end the 31-year secular bear-trend, but a rise to there would result in an almost 50% loss for bondholders. Rising yields reflect market expectations that the economy will recover and the Fed will curtail further quantitative easing.


10-Year Treasury yields
The S&P 500 respected support at 1600 and is headed for a test of the upper channel around 1700. Reversal below support at 1600 is now unlikely, but would warn of a correction.
S&P 500
The VIX is rising, but remains in the green zone, below 20.
VIX
The TSX Composite reversed below support at 12500, indicating weakness. Follow-through below last week's low would suggest a test of primary support at 11900/12000. Bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure.
TSX Composite
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