"No man can become rich without himself enriching others"
Andrew Carnegie



Showing posts with label INVESTMENT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label INVESTMENT. Show all posts

Monday, July 16, 2012

Europe: When Losing Money Makes Sense

Bucher Vaslin Delta Vistalys optic sorter
Bucher Vaslin Delta Vistalys optic sorter (Photo credit: niallkennedy)
There is a remarkable trend developing in European bond markets, where investors are increasingly willing to lend money to certain governments in exchange for next to nothing.
In the most extreme example, yields on 2-year German bonds turned negative this week, falling to a record -0.5%. That means, in theory at least, investors could end up losing money if they hold the bonds to maturity.
Germany is the eurozone’s largest economy and its bunds are considered among the safest assets available for investors who are expecting the worst. But the flight to safety is becoming more widespread as investors hunt for a marginally better return.
This week, 2-year yields briefly turned negative for France, while Denmark and Switzerland are more firmly below zero. Short-term yields for AAA-rated Finland and the Netherlands fell to record lows.
The trend reflects a heightened aversion to risk as Spain and Italy struggle to avoid falling victim to the crisis that dragged down Greece, Portugal and Ireland. Yields on bonds issued by Italy and Spain rose this week as investors demand higher premiums to hold debt that is considered risky.
“The rise in benchmark yields in say Italy and Spain to worryingly high levels shows a deep concern amongst many participants about their fiscal sustainability,” said Andrew Milligan, head of global strategy at Standard Life Investments. ... Continue to read.
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Premier Wen Urges Efforts to Boost Dynamism of Economic Growth

Wen Dao Shi 搵到食
Wen Dao Shi 搵到食 (Photo credit: Xin Li 88)
Premier Wen has called for greater efforts to strengthen vitality and dynamism of economic growth.  Speaking during an inspection tour of southwest China's Sichuan province from Friday to Sunday, Wen said the economy is running at a slower but more stable pace. "The economic growth rate is still within the government target range set early this year, and stabilization policies are working," Wen said. In March this year, the nation pared its gross domestic product (GDP) growth target for 2012 to 7.5 percent from the previous 8 percent, in the face of a persistent slump in the United States and spreading debt woes in the European Union. Dragged down by lackluster external demand and government efforts to cool the property sector, the country's GDP growth slowed to a three-year low of 7.6 percent in the second quarter. Wen said China's economic fundamentals remain sound and the country still enjoys huge growth potential, citing the bumper summer harvest, cooling inflation and rising incomes. However, the country's economic rebound is not yet stable and economic hardship may continue for a period of time, the premier warned at a conference on Saturday in Chengdu city attended by provincial officials from Henan, Hunan, Guangxi, Sichuan and Shaanxi. ... Continue to read.
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Saturday, July 14, 2012

James Carville: Middle Class 'Hit by a Truck'

James Carville
James Carville (Photo credit: jdlasica)
A decades-long decline in the American middle class requires serious, long-lasting measures, former Democratic strategist James Carvilletold CNBC on Friday.
“This is a long-term problem. Middle-class decline has been going on for 30 years. We tend to think that the world stopped and started with the financial crisis,” he said on “The Kudlow Report.” “To them, as I say in the book, it’s like someone with pneumonia getting hit by a truck. And it’s a long way back for these people.”
Carville, a political author who previously served as an advisor to President Clinton, recently co-authored with Stanley Greenberg an op-ed piece in the Wall Street Journal, titled, “The Middle Class Needs a Lifeline.” In it, they write, “Today, high school graduates' first jobs pay less than they did in 1973. We are looking back on three decades with fewer and fewer jobs offering health-care or retirement benefits, with people working longer hours and taking on more debt. College costs take a higher proportion of income, even as it becomes harder for the non-college-educated to get their kids to college and social mobility declines. The working-class family is collapsing and only the college-educated are seeing real gains in life expectancy. ... Continue to read.
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PFGBest chief arrested, admits 20-year fraud, FBI says

English: FBI agents from the Washington Field ...
 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Russell Wasendorf Sr was arrested on Friday after allegedly stealing more than $100 million from clients of his now-bankrupt brokerage PFGBest, using little more than a rented P.O. Box, Photoshop and inkjet printers to dupe regulators for decades. In the dramatic conclusion to a week-long drama that has shaken trader confidence in the trillion-dollar U.S. futures markets, FBI agents arrested Wasendorf, 64, at the Iowa City hospital he was taken to after he tried to commit suicide on Monday, and they released parts of the detailed confession he had left.

In that signed statement, released as part of the criminal complaint, Wasendorf said he began forging bank documents after the business he built from his basement risked failing without additional capital. "I was forced into a difficult decision: Should I go out of business or cheat?" he wrote. He chose to cheat, and described the deceit that extended for nearly the entire life of his firm, known as PFGBest and formally named the Peregrine Financial Group. ... Continue to read.
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Friday, July 13, 2012

Italy faces bond sale test after Moody's downgrade

Moody's Jewelry Neon Sign
Moody's Jewelry Neon Sign (Photo credit: Lost Tulsa)
comItaly's auction of up to 5.25 billion euros in bonds on Friday looks altogether more testing after Moody's cut its rating on the euro zone's third-largest economy to just two notches above junk status.

The agency downgraded Italy's sovereign rating by two notches to 'Baa2', citing rising risks of higher funding costs and a loss of market access. It warned it may cut it further. The unexpected move weighed negatively on Italian bonds in early trade but a new three-year bond on sale on Friday still traded at levels which pointed to a fall in the cost of borrowing from a month ago. "The (Italian government bond) futures have opened sharply lower, we have a tough day ahead of us," an Italian bond trader said. "The negative outlook is particularly worrying." Ten-year Italian government bond yields rose 13 basis points to 6.04 percent, while five-year yields were up 15 bps to 5.55 percent in response to the Moody's action. The Treasury is offering a new July 2015 bond carrying a 4.5 percent coupon and new tranches of three bonds due in 2019, 2022 and 2023 that are no longer issued on a regular basis. ... Continue to read.
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Mutual Funds Vs. ETFs: European Equities

Europe Simulator
Europe Simulator (Photo credit: wigu)
According to Morningstar, has in the past year, the average return on funds in the category of European equity markets have been negative and hovered around 17.70%. The category was much stronger in the past three years and has returned close to 7.99% annually. But over the last five years, which includes the credit crisis, the return appears again in negative territory, with an average annual loss of more than 7% The above data, Navigating Europe has been pretty frustrating for investors in recent years. On average, mutual funds that invest in Europe, or regions that are close to Europe, posted negative returns with only a small window in the positive area between the credit debacle, the current round of sovereign debt problems and needs national banking systems.
All actively managed funds have a dismal record, surpassing the underlying indices. The small-cap international chamber was recently released as a category in which active managers at least have some skill set in the beating of their bogeys proved bound, but for the most part managers have no added value for investors.
excessive fees were also to blame. In the European fund category, calculates the most funds tracked by Morningstar annual expense ratios that were significantly greater than 1%. . Many fees are close to 1.5% while a few were charged in the European small-cap category, rates above 2% ... Continue to read.
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Thursday, July 12, 2012

New foreclosures jump 9%

English: Foreclosure Sign, Mortgage Crisis
English: Foreclosure Sign, Mortgage Crisis (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Foreclosures showed few signs of slowing during the first half of the year, with a sharp increase in new filings occurring during the second quarter.
More than one million homes had foreclosure filings -- notices of default, auction notices and bank repossessions -- during the first six months of 2012, up 2% from the previous six months, according to RealtyTrac, an online marketer of foreclosed properties. And while the number of filings was down 11% from the first six months of 2011, 20 states still saw a marked year-over-year increase. Foreclosure filings in Indiana, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Connecticut, Florida and Illinois increased by 20% or more.
Even more troubling was a surge in new foreclosure starts that occurred during the second quarter. The number of homes with new foreclosure filings was up 9% from the first quarter and was 6% higher than the second quarter of 2011, marking the first year-over-year increase since the last quarter of 2009. Much of the uptick is due to the $26 billion foreclosure abuse settlement that was reached in April, said Daren Blomquist, a spokesman for RealtyTrac. Among other things, the settlement set clear guidelines for the banks on how to properly foreclose on delinquent borrowers. ... Continue to read.
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Krugman on How to "End This Depression Now"

English: "Paul Krugman lectured on "...
 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Krugman on How to "End This Depression Now". Paul Krugman, "End This Depression Now!" author, discusses the financial crisis that triggered the greatest downturn since the Great Depression, and offers ways to move ... Continue to read.
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Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Iowa broker PFGBest collapses after hiding millions

"TUESDAY" production sign
"TUESDAY" production sign (Photo credit: Vaguely Artistic)

The U.S. futures industry reeled on Tuesday as Iowa-based broker PFGBest collapsed after regulators accused it of misappropriating customer funds for more than two years, dealing a new blow to trader trust just months after MF Global's demise.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which along with industry regulators had given a clean bill of health to dozens of brokers following spot checks in January, alleged that the firm's regulated Peregrine Financial Group (PFG) unit and its owner had defrauded customers and lied to regulators in order to hide a shortfall that now exceeds $200 million.

"The whereabouts of the funds is currently unknown," the CFTC said in a complaint against PFG and its founder and chairman, Russell R. Wasendorf Sr., whose suicide attempt on Monday morning outside the firm's Cedar Falls, Iowa, offices appears to have precipitated the crisis.
On Tuesday evening, Peregrine filed to liquidate under Chapter 7 of the U.S. bankruptcy code, with between $500 million and $1 billion of assets, between $100 million and $500 million of liabilities, and between 10,000 and 25,000 creditors. The Chapter 7 filing suggests the company is winding down. ... Continue to read.
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Apple Gains as Major Sector ETFs Fall

Image representing Apple as depicted in CrunchBase
Image via CrunchBase
Apple (NasdaqGS: AAPL) has managed to buck the trend as major sector ETFs have been losing ground in recent sessions. The technology powerhouse was able to break the $600 mark, and make gains while the overall market has suffered in the wake of the disappointing June jobs report.
“The markets start the new week in gloomy spirits as economic growth concerns are clearly back in investors’ minds,” UralSib bank said in a morning note. “The weak U.S. payrolls report on Friday added to already-negative sentiment and ensured that markets ended the week in a risk-off mode.”
PowerShares QQQ NYSEArca: QQQ) lost 0.2% to begin the week, despite the large allocation to Apple. About 19% of holdings are allocated to AAPL, with Microsoft (NasdaqGS: MSFT) and Google (NasdaqGS: GOOG) rounding out the top companies represented. [Chart of the Day: Apple and Tech ETFs]. AAPL reversed course as major sectors, such as materials and financials, plummeted lower, reports Eric Dutram for Nasdaq. The stock climbed $8.01 to $613.89. The technology sector has been hit by the troubles in the Eurozone and the slow growth in emerging economies. However, Apple is said to be the largest contributor to growth in the sector, reports Katie Little for CNBC. [ETF Spotlight: Nasdaq 100]
“Overall in tech, we’re looking for about 3% (growth) as well, but if you remove Apple ,that growth rate drops down to a decline of about 2.5%,” John Butters, senior analyst at FactSet, said in the report. ... Continue to read.
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Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Gold Drops After Weak Chinese Report And Incomprehensive Euro Area Finance Ministers` Decisions

"McKinley and Hobart Gold Standard 1896&q...
"McKinley and Hobart Gold Standard 1896" Ink Well (Photo credit: Cornell University Library)
Precious-Gold slipped on Tuesday trading after rebounding yesterday on worries after weak Chinese data and with some issues not tackled or detailed by the euro area finance ministers. The shiny metal found support at the critical level of $1580 an ounce yesterday to rise to a high of $1593.24 yet it retreated today to trade around $1584.36, where $1580 remains a critical support while resistance is expected to be seen at $1600. Data from China added to worries global recovery is faltering after a parade from downbeat figures from major global economies last week. China`s weaker than anticipated imports gave evidence demand is weak in the world`s second-biggest economy. However, gold may gain as an inflation hedge as the slowdown in growth along with the drop in inflation may prompt the Chinese central bank to ease monetary policy further to reinvigorate the economy. Moreover, the euro area finance ministers` meeting that took place in Brussels yesterday sparked some optimism after they agreed to provide Spain with a 100 billion euro bailout in direct cash for Spanish banks while granting the government an extra year till 2014 to its deficit reduction targets. Spain will receive a tranche of 30 billion euros by the July while the rest of the aid has not been finalized yet. The positive effect did not last long as worries increased once again as their discussions fall short of bailout terms for Greece and the mechanism to be taken in intervening in the bond markets to ease the surging bond yields in Spain and Italy. Regarding fundamentals, data from France showed a drop in industrial production by 1.9% in May from a revised of 1.4%, where manufacturing production slipped 1.0% from a revised of -0.9%. ... Continue to read.
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Fund Managers Seduced by Facebook

Image representing Facebook as depicted in Cru...
Image via CrunchBase
Investors who thought they steered clear of Facebook Inc.'s FB +1.39% initial public offering should take a closer look at their mutual fundsAt least 160 U.S.-based mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, including those run by Fidelity Investments, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc. and OppenheimerFunds Inc., bought shares of Facebook in May, according to monthly disclosures made in June and July compiled by investment-research firm Morningstar Inc. for The Wall Street Journal.
Some of the funds that bought shares wouldn't normally be considered natural investors in a high-growth technology company like Facebook. For example, some of the demand for Facebook came from funds designed primarily to invest in dividend-paying companies or low-priced "value" stocks. Facebook is neither. The disclosures show the wide latitude afforded to mutual-fund managers, and serve as a reminder for investors of the herd mentality that governs many asset managers' buying decisions, say fund analysts and financial planners.

"Even if John Q. Public didn't buy [Facebook] directly, he may own one of the hundreds of mutual funds that did," said Geoff Bobroff, a mutual-fund consultant in East Greenwich, R.I.
About 55% of the funds known to own Facebook appear in companies' defined-contribution plans, such as 401(k)s, according to plan tracker BrightScope Inc. ... Continue to read.
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Monday, July 9, 2012

The 10 Commandments Of Investing

English: 10 Commandments within St Mary Woolno...
English: 10 Commandments within St Mary Woolnoth, near to London, City of London, Great Britain. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
The biblical Ten Commandments were intended to act as a driver's manual for the road of life. “Thou shalt not kill.” “Thou shalt not bear false witness.” These are life's versions of  the stop-at-the-red-light-and-advance-when-safe rules of the road. In other words, they are all guidelines to keep people out of trouble. Because life’s highways are full of potholes, blind turns and bad drivers, the investing world also suffers from scandals, scams and dishonest companies. Here are 10 commandments for the investing world designed to help keep investors – and their money – safe.
1. Thou Shalt Set Clear Goals
If you don’t have a purpose or a set of clear goals to guide your investment strategy, don’t invest. This sounds harsh, but there are so many types, styles and flavors of investing that, without a particular destination, you will be lost at sea. ... Continue to read.
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Sunday, July 8, 2012

Will Europe Sink U.S. Stocks?

stock market
stock market (Photo credit: 401K 2012)
A story of opposites is a fitting description between European and U.S. markets. Sitting on one side of the Atlantic is the S&P 500 Index (SNP: ^ GSPC), which traded only 10% below its 2007 all-time high just a few months ago. U.S. companies also reported record earnings.
On the other side of the pond is Spain’s stock market (NYSEArca: EWP) which now trades more than 50% below its 2007 high. But Spain is not the only weak link in the chain. France’s CAC 40 also trades 50% below its all-time high and even Germany’s DAX is off by more than 20%.
Even the broader MSCI EAFE Index (NYSEArca: EFA) is down some 40% since its 2007 high.
Market dislocations this large are unusual, so the key question is this: Will the U.S. market lift Europe or will Europe (NYSEArca: FXE) drag it down?. Monkey See, Monkey Do
This week the European Central Bank (ECB) took a page from the playbook of the U.S. Federal Reserve. The ECB lowered the deposit and main refinancing interest rate between 0.75% and zero percent. “Downside risks to the euro-area economic outlook have materialized,” said Mario Draghi, ECB President. Draghi’s statement can easily be categorized as understatement of the week and possibly of the year.
The ECB follows the same path as Australia, China, Japan, U.K. and U.S. Here’s what’s occurring: Financial maneuvering by global governments, from asset purchases to near zero percent interest rates, are being tried. And yet other tactics will be tried.
Thus far, the ECB’s tactics haven’t worked. Unemployment in the region reached a record of 11.1% in May and confidence has fallen to its lowest point over the past two years. The European Commission expects 0.3% shrinkage in economic activity and more downward revisions are ahead. ... Continue to read.
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Friday, July 6, 2012

China's Surprise Rate Cut Signals More Trouble Ahead ?

Aerial, Overhead shot of parade at Tienanmen s...
Aerial, Overhead shot of parade at Tienanmen square, China's 60th National Anniversary Oct. 1 2009_0046 (Photo credit: \!/_PeacePlusOne)
China’s unexpected cut in interest rates – the second in less than a month – suggests that the world’s second-biggest economy is in worse shape than it appears and the government is getting worried about growth prospects ahead of the release of key economic data next week. By surprising markets and slashing the one-year lending rate by 31 basis points to 6 percent and the deposit rates by 25 basis points to 3 percent, Beijing is signaling that it is getting serious about bolstering the economy by lowering borrowing costs for businesses and lifting private-sector investment, economists tell CNBC. “The timing is earlier than expected, even if we already penciled-in one more cut in the third quarter. This may foreshadow worse than expected growth numbers that are due to release next week,” HSBC economists Qu Hongbin and Sun Junwei wrote in a report on Thursday. China is due to release closely-watched indicators, including inflation[cnbc explains] and trade figures for June and second-quarter GDP[cnbc explains] growth, which economists say may show that the Chinese economy is slowing faster than the government would like. Beijing is targeting a growth rate of 7.5 percent for the economy for 2012. ... Continue to read.
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Is it time, the airline ETF (FAA) buy?

Ethiopian Airlines 757-200
Ethiopian Airlines 757-200 (Photo credit: caribb)
The airline industry continues to face challenges of concerns associated with business and oil prices and the never-ending turmoil. The major threat to the airline industry is the fuel price volatility, which is next hedging techniques that are outside the control of airlines (Read: Airline ETF requests turbulence on oil surge). While higher oil prices make the operation of aircraft, expensive, lower price point to a slowing economy and lead to a decline in global demand for air travel. The fluctuating trend in oil prices and growing tensions over Iran and other Middle East nations to keep pressure on airlines (Read: Three ETFs for an Iranian crisis). These concerns are wide fears of the rise in oil prices in the second half of the year and declining demand from key emerging economies, the rise is already in its development the majority of air travel in the recent past. Behind these emerging market suffering, developed markets are not much better, especially in the case of Europe. Despite a series of bailouts in Europe intensified suffering of all eyes on Greece, Spain and Italy, as to stop the slide in its business (Read: Spanish Bailout: Did it help European ETFs) to try. In fact, threats of a recession looming on the economy at large. In such a scenario would jeopardize the warning before a decline in demand for air travel airlines that violate the value of the shares of airlines and every ETF with exposure to the sector ... Continue to read.
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Thursday, July 5, 2012

Room for Optimism on Europe: Mark Mobius

Squawk Box Europe
Squawk Box Europe (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
There is room for optimism that Europe's economy will recover, Mark Mobius, Executive Chairman at Templeton Asset Management's Emerging Markets Group told CNBC on Thursday, as companies in fast-growing emerging markets look to make acquisitions in the region. "One of the reasons why I'm optimistic about Europe is that all this money in emerging markets is waiting for the opportunity to buy assets in Europe," he said.
"So there's going to be plenty of opportunities for Europe to sell state assets or other assets... So the picture looks very good," Mobius told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe". Despite the global impact of the euro zone debt crisis, Mobius said emerging markets would continue to outpace their Western counterparts. “The emerging markets are doing very well. Economically this year average growth for all these markets would be around five percent and the debt to GDP levels are low compared to developed countries,” he added. ... Continue to read.
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3 Bond ETFs I Consider To Be Cheap

Investors United (School of Real Estate Investing)
Investors United (School of Real Estate Investing) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Many investors and potential investors have asked me how I determine the value of a specific company's stock. When it comes to ETFs there are few things I consider, but one of the most important things to look at in my opinion, is the fee the fund charges potential investors when they are considering establishing a position.
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF (BSV): BSV, which trades in a 52-week range of $80.59 (52-week low) and $81.94 (52-week high), yields an estimated 1.67% ($1.36), making the stock an affordable option considering its dividend. Shares have been pretty flat during the last few trading sessions and could continue to demonstrate similar behavior through the second half of the year. One the key catalysts for potential investors would be the expense ratio when compared to that of its peers. Currently, BSV charges investors an annualized expense ratio of 0.11%, when compared to the category average of 0.18%. That difference equates to an estimated savings of 39% annually. ... Continue to read.
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